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I got interested in this topic, after reading about Time Cycles from Murphy's book. Time cycle seems pretty much Fourier series analysis. Just to try it out, I took the monthly data for EURUSD for its entirety. First, this is the monthly EURUSD chart (x-axis is just data points). I take a Fourier Transform of this data, select the low-frequency components, and then Inverse Fourier Transform, to give this graph (red graph is the standard EURUSD Monthly data). The blue curve is showing an interesting cyclic pattern. It seems set to repeat a bullish wave. To make it cleaner, I pass the EURUSD monthly data through a Low-pass filter, set at cutoff frequency of 0.05 units (which is around 5 times the frequency step size), and then I get this graph. We are clearly seeing initiation of a bull run again. I was wondering if professionals consider this a reliable analysis of FX markets? All other forces of the market (ECB, Fed, rates, trade agreements/wars, Futures), they are perhaps unwittingly playing their part in helping this cycle evolve naturally? Or is this just a fluke?
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FOREX.com is a registered FCM and RFED with the CFTC and member of the National Futures Association (NFA # 0339826). Forex trading involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Full Disclosure. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. Forex Market Time. Forex market is a 24 hours market around the clock. But for all currency pairs, volatility does not stay equal. It varies time to time for different sessions. Forex Sessions are basically stock exchange time across the globe. When stock market opens major transaction happens. Australia Daylight Savings Time begins at 3am Sunday 5 April. Forex Market Hours. Forex trading is available 24 hours a day from 9:00pm GMT (10:00pm BST) until 9:00pm GMT (10:00pm BST) on Friday, including most U.S. holidays. Please be advised of the potential for illiquid market conditions particularly at the open of the trading week. The Forex market is a little odd in it’s opening hours. Unlike most financial markets that open around 8:00 am in the morning and close around 6:00 pm in the evening, Forex is open 24 hour per day. The forex market is closed for retail traders on weekends. The currency market closes on Friday 5:00 PM New York time (10:00 PM London time), when the New York session finalizes, and reopens on Sunday at 5:00 PM New York time (10:00 PM London time).
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